Communication · Executive Insight Brief · 403
Expert convergence needs a visible history
The Delphi Method separates independent judgment from controlled feedback so convergence and persistent disagreement can both inform decisions under uncertainty.
Premise
The Delphi Method structures expert judgment when available data cannot settle a consequential question. Instead of asking specialists to debate until one position dominates, it separates response from social interaction. Participants answer independently, receive controlled summaries of the group’s judgments and reasons, and then decide whether to retain, revise, or qualify their views. For executives, the value is not a manufactured consensus. It is a visible record of how informed judgment changes—or refuses to change—after exposure to competing reasoning.
What the model is: Delphi Method in Knowledge →
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- FamilyTool
- CategoryResearch & Analysis Methods
- DomainEvidence & Evaluation
What these mean
Editorial orientation · Family
Tool
In this series, Tool names the editorial family primarily used to act on, examine, measure or organize communication. It includes instruments, methods, practices, protocols, codes and institutional arrangements. Membership does not certify effectiveness, portability or safe use in every setting.
Editorial orientation · Category
Research & Analysis Methods
Establishes procedures for collecting, coding, comparing or interpreting information for inquiry or analysis. Its contribution is a defensible route from observations or materials to an account, finding or interpretation.
- KnowledgeDelphi Method